A Bermuda company called AG Research has made an analysis of 2007 Voting Trends (PDF, 1.4 meg) that’s doing the rounds - great guerrilla marketing. It features maps by constituency that show:
- Change in the numbers of registered voters
- Change in voter turnout
- Change in party of elected MPs
- Change in candidate
- Voter affiliation
- Margin of victory (very interesting)
- Performance of PLP and UBP (very interesting)
I have not had time yet to absorb this properly. A few quick observations:
- There were notable increases in both voters and voter turnout in constituencies 3 and 30, where new PLP candidates upset the UBP incumbents.
- Constituency sizes are changing fast - how long before there’s a need to rebalance them?
- Few constituencies can be labeled as hard core to either party; most are neutral or just mildly affiliated. This makes sense as, even though the PLP dominates Parliament, the popular vote was essentially split 50/50.